Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 2.383387 2.758865 3.182802 3.698590 4.311433 5.019070 5.902006
2025-02-16 1.825980 2.315699 2.929318 3.762144 4.874489 6.325158 8.386882
2025-02-23 1.539177 2.072464 2.788468 3.835088 5.351192 7.507078 10.876781
2025-03-02 1.312896 1.851721 2.615259 3.799040 5.629909 8.425112 13.156995
2025-03-09 1.170226 1.717835 2.531010 3.858754 6.035821 9.580497 16.039560
2025-03-16 1.036578 1.573962 2.404365 3.822015 6.267834 10.482925 18.688475
2025-03-23 0.932379 1.459251 2.303114 3.803317 6.515526 11.443595 21.655655
2025-03-30 0.835979 1.343605 2.182752 3.729361 6.645583 12.205409 24.410127
2025-04-06 0.777047 1.282032 2.143355 3.789077 7.026622 13.509203 28.613028
2025-04-13 0.703869 1.187204 2.033716 3.701596 7.104641 14.215178 31.674408
2025-04-20 0.671761 1.160560 2.041754 3.837660 7.653329 16.016065 37.810946
2025-04-27 0.622869 1.098004 1.975706 3.816627 7.866026 17.115587 42.515155
2025-05-04 0.584473 1.057640 1.959943 3.925275 8.451883 19.380558 51.601900
2025-05-11 0.542030 1.006181 1.919282 3.983728 8.962101 21.673807 61.993204
2025-05-18 0.506984 0.964182 1.890701 4.061995 9.536911 24.307967 74.712236
2025-05-25 0.465930 0.904774 1.817229 4.023499 9.809379 26.203856 85.973459
2025-06-01 0.437987 0.868930 1.789009 4.087242 10.367676 29.113498 102.505714
2025-06-08 0.405431 0.819391 1.723783 4.048023 10.634598 31.227868 117.235058
2025-06-15 0.377764 0.777272 1.669782 4.028065 10.954399 33.632112 134.726744
2025-06-22 0.349217 0.730064 1.597980 3.949132 11.081386 35.437547 150.774975
2025-06-29 0.332071 0.706725 1.579864 4.012866 11.670816 39.123019 178.645656
2025-07-06 0.307688 0.664133 1.509706 3.919502 11.732515 40.865108 197.799892
2025-07-13 0.298028 0.655069 1.521689 4.064724 12.635859 46.303249 242.414536